Emmanuel Macron’s allies suffered a significant defeat in the European Parliament elections, winning only 13 seats. As a response, President Macron decided to dissolve the National Assembly and move up the country’s elections to this month. Macron justified this decision by stating that France needs a clear majority that is unified and peaceful. This move came after initial election results favored the right, led by Marine Le Pen and Jordan Bardella.
In his ideal scenario, Macron’s presidency would benefit the left and weaken the right during negotiations with various parties for the parliamentary elections. However, recent developments suggest that this may not go as planned. Left-wing parties forming the “Popular Front” announced a reformation of their alliance without Macron. The new coalition will include the Socialist Party, França Insubmissa, the Green Party, and the Communist Party.
The French Republicans proposed an unexpected alliance with the right-wing National Regroupment party of Marine Le Pen for the upcoming parliamentary elections. If the RN were to win an absolute majority in the elections, Macron would be required to appoint one of its leaders, potentially Bardella, as prime minister. The RN currently holds 88 seats in the National Assembly and would need to increase this total to 289 for an absolute majority.
Macron has faced challenges maintaining support in the National Assembly, with just 250 allied deputies. The right’s advancement in the internal elections and the left’s retreat could further complicate his parliamentary support. Macron has expressed interest in forming a government coalition with the Republicans, but the conservative party has resisted his attempts.
There is speculation about Macron’s resignation, with one advisor suggesting early elections to reaffirm his national leadership. While unlikely, this possibility has raised questions about Macron’s political future. The new elections could potentially strengthen Macron’s powers in the Executive branch, weakening the Legislative branch in the process. Despite the challenges ahead, Macron remains focused on navigating the complex political landscape in France.