The main question surrounding every election in Iran is the voter turnout and the impact it will have on the results. A low voter turnout reflects public disinterest in politics, while a higher turnout can sway the fate of the elections and the next president’s identity. Mohammad-Bakar Kalibaf, the Speaker of the Iranian Parliament, is a frontrunner for the presidency, known for his past roles in the Revolutionary Guards and the violent suppression of protests. He emphasizes protecting Iran from crises and removing international sanctions.
Saeed Jalili, a former representative in nuclear negotiations, is also a strong candidate, advocating for a hawkish approach and Iran’s right to a nuclear program. Masoud Pazkhian is the more reformist candidate, calling for talks with the West and reducing political divisions. Other candidates include Amir-Hossein Hashemi, Ali-Reza Zakhani, and Mustafa Pourmohammadi, each with their own policy platforms and backgrounds.
With similar levels of support for Kalibaf, Jalili, and Pazkhian, it is uncertain if the election will be decided in the first round. If no candidate steps down and voter turnout is high, Pazkhian may have a greater chance of winning. It remains to be seen how these elections will unfold and what impact they will have on Iran’s future.