In a surprising turn of events for the populist right in France, early results indicate that approximately 34% of the French population voted for Marine Le Pen’s “National Union” party, compared to 29% for a broad left bloc and 22% for the Center Bloc led by President Emmanuel Macron. This outcome is a significant blow to Macron, who had called for snap elections three weeks ago to solidify his political power but ended up losing.
Now, all eyes are on the National Assembly, which has a total of 577 seats, to see how the support rates in the public will translate into seats and if the “National Union” can secure an absolute majority in the parliament. Initial estimates suggest that the party may not reach the required 289 seats for a majority, with predictions ranging between 240 and 270 seats.
The left bloc, consisting of social democrats, greens, extreme left, and communists, is also expected to win between 180 and 200 seats. Macron’s party, “Renaissance,” may only secure between 60 and 90 seats, while the right-wing “republicans” not aligned with Le Pen are forecasted to win several dozen seats. This political landscape could lead to a period of stagnation in France.
As the results become clear in each electoral district, candidates who qualify for the second round will compete to secure their seats. It is expected that there will be many more three-way races in the upcoming round, with candidates withdrawing and endorsing their opponents. The French National Union party has shown its widespread support across France, proving that the European Parliament elections were not just a protest vote.
Following the release of the initial results, Le Pen and other party leaders have expressed optimism about their chances in the second round. Macron, on the other hand, has called for a united front against the extreme right in the upcoming elections.
The high voter turnout in these elections, reaching nearly 70%, reflects the intense political climate in France. Macron’s political gamble in calling for snap elections seems to have backfired, with the populist right gaining significant ground. These events mark a turning point in French politics and will shape the future direction of the country.