Iran is bracing for a potential retaliatory attack from Israel on its territories. The US and European countries are urging Israel to choose a response that will prevent further escalation in tensions, stemming from Tehran’s recent missile and drone attack. Iranian officials have announced preparations in their air force for potential strikes and have begun escorting Iranian commercial ships in the Red Sea. Additionally, they have started evacuating personnel from sites in Syria where the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps has a significant presence.
The Revolutionary Guards and Hezbollah have made adjustments to their presence in Syria, with senior officers reducing their presence and mid-ranking officers relocating within the country. Israel has declared its intentions to respond to the attack, but officials indicate that the response will be made at a time of their choosing and in a responsible manner. The Biden administration is urging Israel to refrain from immediate retaliation and instead acknowledge the successful repulsion of Iran’s attack through a US-brokered alliance.
Efforts to de-escalate tensions are underway, with British and German foreign ministers visiting Israel to reinforce the message of restraint. The potential for Israel’s response to escalate the confrontation with Tehran-backed Hamas in Gaza into a wider regional conflict is a concern shared by many parties. The White House has announced plans for economic sanctions on Iran to encourage Israel to limit its response. Israel is expected to coordinate with its Arab allies and may focus its attacks on facilities in Syria linked to Iran.
As preparations continue on both sides, the risk of miscalculation remains high. The recent exchange of fire with Hezbollah in northern Israel falls within established rules of engagement, but underscores the potential for unintended escalation. Meanwhile, Iran has signaled its readiness to respond to any Israeli action, emphasizing its commitment to defending its interests.
The situation remains fluid, with ongoing discussions on potential sanctions and measures to address Iran’s activities in the region. As Israel navigates its response and tensions simmer in various hotspots, the focus remains on preventing a wider conflict and maintaining stability in the region.