• Fri. May 17th, 2024

Comparison of the 2024 Total Solar Eclipse: Forecast versus Outcome

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May 2, 2024

The researchers utilized the Aitken, Electra, and Pleiades supercomputers at the NASA Advanced Supercomputing facility located at the agency’s Ames Research Center in California’s Silicon Valley. By harnessing near-real-time data from NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory and ESA’s Solar Orbiter, the team was able to develop a dynamic model of the corona. Their model successfully predicted various details, such as long streamers visible in the upper and lower left side of the image. However, upon comparison with actual images, it was noted that the locations of the streamers were slightly misaligned.

This discrepancy is believed to be due to new activity occurring on the far side of the Sun, which impacted the appearance of the corona but had not been captured in the model. Once this new activity was accounted for, the model more closely matched observational photos of the corona. By incorporating this additional data, the researchers were able to enhance the accuracy of their model and gain a better understanding of the dynamics of the Sun’s corona. Through the use of advanced supercomputing technology and near-real-time data, the team’s research has provided valuable insights into the behavior of the Sun’s outer atmosphere.

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